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Performance and reporting

J-curve

Also called J-curve effect.

Definition

The J-curve is the shape of a private fund's net performance plotted over its life: negative in the early years, when management fees and organisational expenses are drawn and investments are still held at cost, then rising as holdings are marked up and realised. It describes a timing effect, not a loss.

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Example

A $50M fund calls $6M in year one. $1M of that is management fee and organisational expenses; $5M goes into three companies, held at cost. Net asset value is $5M against $6M paid in, a TVPI of 0.83x and a net IRR well below zero. By year three the fund has called $25M, paid $3.5M of cumulative fees and expenses, and marked its portfolio at $26M: TVPI 1.04x, net IRR barely positive. By year six, with $45M called, $18M distributed and $55M of NAV, TVPI is 1.62x. Plotted year by year, the net IRR line dips, bottoms around year two or three, and climbs: the J.

Confused with

Underperformance. A negative net IRR in year two says almost nothing about the fund. Every fund that charges fees on commitments and holds investments at cost starts below the line.

The hockey stick. A startup's revenue projection has a similar shape but describes forecast growth. The J-curve describes fees and valuation policy acting on real cash flows.

In practice

The depth of the J depends on how fees are charged and how quickly capital is deployed. A subscription line flattens it, because calls are delayed and the early fee drag is funded with borrowing, which is one reason LPs ask to see the curve with and without the facility.